Mark Latham Watch

Prediction a winner

I do not want to see Brisbane win four in a row my money is on Port Adelaide to Win the Grand Final, which brings me to the election. I predict Labour to win, regardless of the pollsters and pundits. I just do not believe the Coalition is going to get up and win this. The people like Mark Latham, especially us girls. At Backpageshad this reaction to the latest ACNielsen poll in The Age and Sydney Morning Herald. "Alright, Nielsen is out. And it's ugly. Real ugly. There's no getting around an 8 point spread. It's bad news. But not unambiguously so, even if it comes on top of yesterday's bad Morgan phone poll. The guts is that the LNP is ahead 54/46 on the 2pp and 50/36 on the primary. That's a beyond-margin-of-error 8 point spread. Perhaps Labor is stuffed. If this poll was an actual vote, it would be the biggest LNP primary since '75 and 2pp since '77." This contrasts with a Newspoll earlier in the week. Gut instinct is not to buy the Nielson poll. It is not reflective of talk in the office, friends having a chat on the street, nor at the dinner table and BBQ predictions, which differs that, the pendulum has swung towards Labor.

posted by gorgeousbimbo @ 1:41 PM